Acta Scientiarum Polonorum
serie Formatio Circumiectus – Environmental Processes
RESEARCH PAPER
Evaluation of the use of a photovoltaic installation in the autumn and winter in the aspect of climate change
1
Katedra Zastosowań Matematyki, Uniwersytet Przyrodniczy we Wrocławiu, ul. Norwida 25, 50-375 Wrocław
2
Katedra Badań Operacyjnych i Inteligencji Biznesowej, Politechnika Wrocławska, wybrzeże Stanisława Wyspiańskiego 27,
50-370 Wrocław
Submission date: 2024-03-06
Final revision date: 2024-05-13
Acceptance date: 2024-05-15
Publication date: 2024-09-17
Corresponding author
Jacek Leśny
Katedra Zastosowań Matematyki, Uniwersytet Przyrodniczy we Wrocławiu, ul. Norwida 25, 50-375 Wrocław
Katedra Zastosowań Matematyki, Uniwersytet Przyrodniczy we Wrocławiu, ul. Norwida 25, 50-375 Wrocław
Acta Sci. Pol. Formatio Circumiectus 2024;23(2):97-110
HIGHLIGHTS
- The greatest energy demand in the Northern Hemisphere occurs in autumn and winter. Assuming the use of solar radiation, the question arises whether there will be more or less of it as the climate changes. The calculations showed that by 2060 it may be approximately 5% less.
KEYWORDS
TOPICS
ABSTRACT
Aim of the study:
In the face of inevitable climate change and high energy demand during the heating season (October–March), an attempt was made to estimate the change in available total radiation over a 60-year perspective (2000–2060).
Material and methods:
Five formulas based on standard meteorological data (temperature, precipitation) were used to estimate radiation, for which parameters were determined based on actual observations from Wrocław, which is a good representative of the southern, lowland part of Poland. Precipitation and temperature values for the year 2060 and the RCP 6.0 scenario, as well as background (year 2000), were obtained using the WGENK meteorological data generator.
Results and conclusions:
The results obtained indicate that with the expected increase in temperature and precipitation, total radiation may decrease by 5% during the October–March period in the year 2060 compared to the reference year 2000.
In the face of inevitable climate change and high energy demand during the heating season (October–March), an attempt was made to estimate the change in available total radiation over a 60-year perspective (2000–2060).
Material and methods:
Five formulas based on standard meteorological data (temperature, precipitation) were used to estimate radiation, for which parameters were determined based on actual observations from Wrocław, which is a good representative of the southern, lowland part of Poland. Precipitation and temperature values for the year 2060 and the RCP 6.0 scenario, as well as background (year 2000), were obtained using the WGENK meteorological data generator.
Results and conclusions:
The results obtained indicate that with the expected increase in temperature and precipitation, total radiation may decrease by 5% during the October–March period in the year 2060 compared to the reference year 2000.
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| ISSN: | 1644-0765 |
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